by Eileen | 9:19 pm, February 3, 2013 | Comments Off
Andrew Romanoff is in for the 2014 Congressional cycle. And, yeah, he’ll likely win.
There’s no shortage of Internet blather about what other Dems may get into the race, including the baffingly stupid move from Linda Newell to use her daughter’s Twitter feed to tell the world’s she’s considering a bid.
Morgan Carroll was talked about a lot and scuttlebutt during redistricting was that the 6th wasn’t just being redrawn to help the left, but specifically to suit her. However, she seems to have made her intent clear to sit this one out.
The first official blurb out of Romanoff’s nascent campaign finished up with a telling statement
Someone once said there are two kinds of politicians in the world: Those who want to be somebody and those who want to do something. So let me be clear: I’m running for the House of Representatives to get things done.
Whomever could that refer to? Certainly not the incumbent, a man at risk of being eaten by his own ego and only whiling away the days in politics until a vacancy opens up in the Trinity.
A take-no-prisoners Democratic primary that bleeds the candidates dry is Mike Coffman’s best hope. My own outsider take on the machinations of the Dems is that they won’t sacrifice the chance to take the 6th, which would be a major insult to the right in addition to increasing their House delegation, to egos and bickering. Lefty blogs seem to think the primary will be a free-for-all. I doubt it. Coffman is already bleeding and limping behind the pack. Only a fool would blow that.
Coffman retained his seat in November by two points – meaning the 6th is no longer more than a slightly GOP leaning district, if that. Heck, of all seven Colorado districts, his win was the leanest, by nearly five points. Ah, well, ‘Pubs lacked the votes and just got outplayed on the tactics and the messaging when it came to redistricting. Democrats also have the state Supreme Court, so they can easily afford to proffer a ridiculous plan, twiddle their thumbs until time runs out, let the judiciary draw the map, and blast the GOP for refusing to ‘compromise’. Meanwhile, the GOP choices are to take it in the legislature or the courts. Neither of which will buy you dinner first.
Personally, if one or even two terms with Andrew Romanoff is the price to oust Coffman, bring it on, say I. That, however, assumes, Republicans can reclaim the seat, which is iffy. Obviously, a brief interlude of Betsy Markey was a bargain to oust the horrid Marilyn Musgrave, but the 4th is also a very different beast from the 6th. That and the state party’s pathetic refusal to let anyone new play means Republicans have no bench – certainly not at the level to win a Congressional district. Too bad, as Coffman in his death throes and a ragtag band of squabbling collectivists would be a great chance for a dark horse.
It depends on a lot of variables: how other races go, and how well the RNC can rake in money, if Republicans can offer enough help to buy Coffman’s seat for him, but I don’t get the sense he’s high on anyone’s personal list of undeperforming incumbents to protect. His district certainly is, and I suppose the nasty business of politics is that you support buffoons and bastards for the sake of maintaining majority status. Even the GOP though is only good to bail out bad incumbents up to a point. I refer you to the aforementioned Musgrave.
If losing the House is a foregone conclusions, Coffman will be left to swing. If maintaining it comfortably or even adding a few seats look possible, he’s also potentially on his own. If that cost to save Mikey is enough to win two races elsewhere, I’d take that deal and so would you. But, if things come down to every last district, he’ll get the incumbent protection service.
Mike Coffman has used every public office he’s every held to campaign for the next one up the ladder. For a time, even that had to compete with his chintzy attempt at ‘Mr Smith Goes to Iraq’. Serve in the military or serve in the legislature, but bouncing back and forth just screwed over everyone involved while lapping up glory. You chintzy git. Then he intentionally set up the Secretary of State to become a Democratic appointment rather the let his own party have a fighting chance at running a candidate…because he had to serve the people.
At the end of the day, Mike Coffman seems to have joined the military to get college paid for and then run for office in order to, well, blow off legislating and play G.I. Joe. The worst sort of old guard brat, Coffman thinks that if a higher ranked office exists, he’s divinely entitled to it. Returned to civilian life, he can pursue power and indulge his dilettantism on his time and dime.
Unless he decides he can’t retain the 6th and treats us all to a U.S. Senate run.
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