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Barack Obama will have a second term. Here’s why: Part One in a Diagnostic Manual for the Center-Right

by | 2:23 pm, July 19, 2011 | Comments Off

Our American President is just horrid. Arrogant, unlikeable, not nearly so savvy or clever as he fancies, bubbling over with damning character flaws, getting friendly with all the wrong people, and disgustingly lazy – more given to the “see-the-world-and-have great-parties” aspect of the gig and not so fond of the “get-your-ass-in-the-office-by-seven-and-work” part. Fine, so what. He will, barring an absolute miracle, have a second term.

Deplorable as he is, Obama is the incumbent. To knock him out, we need to present someone worth the trouble and disruption of a change in power. We don’t have that person. How can a man be disliked by close to a super-majority of the people he governs – 42% approval conversely means 58% of America thinks the Democrat’s golden boy is blowing donkey chunks – still be pretty safe for 2012?

For one thing, his party has united to prevent any primary challenge. Not so on the right, where a improbable cadre of goofballs, demagogues, and religiously minded social-engineers have assembled to squawk at one another and fight for the nomination. The danger that these people will split the vote, do the left’s opposition research gratis just to to destroy themselves, exhaust donors and volunteers alike, and burn through every favor owed by the spring is high. Whomever is left barely standing at the end of the convention will be fragile crusader presiding over a fractured party. Of late, the Republicans spend all their time in a Presidential election cycle fighting each other, treating the Democrats as a bit of an afterthought.

Just look at the state of the union. Are any of us better off know that we were 36 months ago? Classical liberalism in the land of the free lies in such disarray that we can’t take advantage of a perfect storm.

This is symptomatic of a deeper disease, one that permeates the party-proper and snakes through the surrounding assortment of think tanks and activist groups. To say that the big tent has folded up and stolen away is not news. Yet, the various factions have exceeded perilous detente in favor of a zero-sum melee. The current front runners are boring party-line twerps, an unimaginative and risk-averse blue-suit frat pack.

For all that glorious capitalistic rhetoric lauding entrepreneurs and risk-takers, the effective core is peopled by only-slightly-more-intelligent-than-average types who play by the old rules and know their place too well. Given that the pro-market side in American politics has little left to lose, a strategy of protecting and maintaining is nonsensical. Cornered animals aren’t cautious; they bite.

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