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New poll shows Tancredo within margin of error

by | 1:57 pm, October 15, 2010 | 9 Comments

A Rasmussen Reports poll released today shows former GOP Congressman Tom Tancredo surging in his bid to become the next Governor of Colorado.

Tancredo now trails liberal Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper by 4%, at 42% for Hickenlooper to 38% for Tancredo, with the poll’s margin of error at 4%.  Dan Maes now receives only 12% support.

Just two weeks ago, Tancredo was down by 8%.  Essentially, he’s taken 3% from Maes during that time, with one percent of Maes support seeming to go now to “some other candidate”.

Although the number is too small to really be significant, Tancredo should also take some comfort in the fact that Hickenlooper dropped 1% while undecided (separate from “some other candidate”) rose 1% over those two weeks.

It is becoming clearer by the day that Tom Tancredo would have more than a passing chance of beating John Hickenlooper in a two-man race and that Dan Maes’ continued presence in this election can serve only to help the Democrat get elected.

If Maes hasn’t gotten out by now, odds are he won’t even if polls show him in single digits.

If I may play armchair psychologist for a moment, at this point Maes’ behavior seems motivated primarily by spite against Tom Tancredo.  After all, by staying in, Maes is hurting Tancredo and the citizens of Colorado. But more than that, he’s absolutely destroying what little chance he may still have had remaining of being able to run for a more modest political office in the future.

By showing himself to be not just a borderline-fraud, but a narcissistic borderline-fraud at the expense of absolutely everything he claims to care about, Dan Maes has shredded what little respect any but the most blinkered Maes supporters still held for the man.

It’s one thing to have some admiration for a guy who really wants to be a citizen-politician, who really wants to bring the spirit of a non-career politician to the state’s government.  It’s another thing entirely for that guy to show his willingness to subject the state to a leftist radical-green liberal governor who will have substantial ability to damage Republican electoral competitiveness for a decade to come through the upcoming redistricting process.

Dan Maes, the man who gives out pennies in change while collecting $20 bills in a burlap sack in order to avoid campaign finance regulations, is no longer an amusing distraction.

He is a self-absorbed, spiteful wannabe who deserves our scorn, not anyone’s vote, and who, with any luck, will have the good sense to move back to Kansas if John Hickenlooper wins this election.

I repeat what I’ve said several times in recent weeks:  While Tom Tancredo and I have some substantial policy disagreements, we agree more than we disagree and he would be a far better governor than John Hickenlooper.  I have contributed to Tom’s campaign in the past week.  I urge all of you to do so as well, even if it’s just a few bucks.  And I encourage you to explain to your perhaps less politically attentive friends how important it is to vote for Tom Tancredo.

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Comments

  1.   Wilkes
      October 15th, 2010 @ 3:26 pm

    I think this poll could be watershed. It makes the race much more serious.

  2.   Evan
      October 15th, 2010 @ 5:45 pm

    “Dan Maes, the man who gives out pennies in change while collecting $20 bills in a burlap sack in order to avoid campaign finance regulations, is no longer an amusing distraction.”

    Good lord Ross I know you are better than this. I don’t care who you support in the race as that is your decision to make. However, I am opposed to bad arguments – the above is a bad argument. You could have talked about any number of things regarding Dan Maes that would have constituted a legitimate argument…yet you instead attack him for doing something that has been done by multiple candidates for a long time. In fact, Tom Tancredo HIMSELF has done the same thing (only giving out dimes instead of pennies). It isn’t new, Dan isn’t the first person to do it and he won’t be the last.

    I’m usually quite interested in what you have to say, but that attempt at an attack is just disappointing. If you want to convince people that your point of view is correct then please at least levy some legitimate arguments. Again, I’m not against your position on Tancredo in the least…I’m just against bad arguments.

  3.   Elliot
      October 15th, 2010 @ 7:22 pm

    Ross,
    Do you think Tanc could pass that same scrutiny?

  4.   Rip57
      October 16th, 2010 @ 10:59 am

    Interesting take. I hope you’re wrong.

    Ever since “Serpico”, I’ve been trying to figure out what motivates Dan Maes. I was hoping that whatever motivates him to stay in the race could motivate him to get out of the race. If ensuring fiscal responsibility and limited government in Colorado were his motivation, he’d already be gone and. I submit, appreciated for his selfless devotion to Colorado’s future. If we were talking money, power, or security as motivation then someone would have already made him an offer he couldn’t refuse.

    The thought that this man is motivated by spite, and will stay in the race even if it results in handing the Dems the governor’s office, is simply galling.

    I want to believe he’s better than that. I’m hoping he’s better than that. But as we all know, “hope” is not a strategy.

    In any case, I’ve already voted Tancredo (mail-in ballot). I urge you all to do the same. Don’t wait. Don’t agonize over it. Do it and be done with it.

  5.   Whitney
      October 17th, 2010 @ 11:37 pm

    Ross, you are so “off” with the burlap bag discussion. ….it’s pathetic. Have you really scrutinized Tancredo? All of his background……there’s some very interesting information regarding his background, associations, etc. etc. But, no, you probably just interviewed him and that was it?

  6.   Elliot
      October 18th, 2010 @ 4:29 am

    Whitney,
    I have a pretty good idea where Ross stands. Trust me – he has scrutinized Tancredo a lot – he just believes that the dangers on judges/redistricting justify holding his nose and pulling the lever. I disagree with him on that, but he has a respectable position.

  7.   Rossputin
      October 18th, 2010 @ 8:40 am

    Whitney,

    I have NEVER said that I think Tom Tancredo is the greatest candidate in the history of politics.

    I am saying that we have too much to lose via a Governor Hickenlooper to dogmatically support Dan Maes for any reason.

    I have not “scrutinized” Tom’s “associations” and I’m not going do.

    If you want to vote for Maes and give the race to Hickenlooper, and if you can live with yourself if that happens, then go for it. It’s a free country.

  8.   Rossputin
      October 18th, 2010 @ 8:41 am

    I should add that I think Tancredo will do a good job. He understands that government is the problem, not the solution.

    And he has very little impact on immigration issues as governor, which is fine with me (esp. on legal immigration) because I think he goes too far in those areas.

  9.   Laura Victoria
      October 18th, 2010 @ 5:33 pm

    Here’s the deal. We have a choice between Hick and Tanc. I’ll take the Tanc any day, especially on November 2. Maes needs to grow a pair and drop the heck out. This discussion need not be so complicated.

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