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Politically incorrect Ken Buck losing to Jane Norton?

by | 11:52 pm, July 30, 2010 | 10 Comments

Ken Buck's politically incorrect complaint about a few birthers who gave him hard times at Tea Party events and his allegedly sexist quip about Jane Norton's high heels may cost him the GOP's Aug. 10 Senate primary, according to an unnamed pollster cited by a Washington Post political blogger. Birthers say President Obama wasn't born in the U.S. and isn't legally qualified to serve as president, but most Americans discount their claim and, like Buck, don't want to hear anymore about it. Of course, I've been predicting that Buck's high heels quip could cost him, especially because Norton came up with a great ad that implies that Buck is sexist because he made the dumb joke. That Norton has joked about her gender in the campaign apparently hasn't softened the negative impact of his comment or of the ad. And that the Norton campaign made the ad using an unattributed film clip without the permission of its owner, http://www.peoplespresscollective.com, probably isn't on voters' radar screens. The Buck campaign is making a big issue of the web site's complaints about how Norton improperly used its clip, but so far, it's an insiders' debate. How Buck's complaint that a few people who attended Tea Party events were disruptive could hurt him is a bit hard to understand. The complaint may be a problem for Buck because it initially looked like he was calling everyone involved with Tea Parties dumbaxx "birthers."  Most curious is that WaPo's The Fix would report the results of a poll conducted by an unnamed pollster. That pollster is saying that Norton leads Buck by five percentage points. Who the pollster is and works for and how and when the poll was conducted are not reported by Chris Cillizza who writes The Fix. However, the poll results have some credibility in light of the latest Rasmussen Reports' poll. It shows Norton with a nine point lead over appointed Obama Democrat Sen. Michael Bennet, compared with Buck's six-point lead. But Buck has a six-point lead over Bennet's primary challenger, Andrew Romanoff. Norton leads Romanoff by four percentage points. Both primaries look like toss-ups. So while I've been saying that it appears that Norton has the momentum and that Buck is on defense, I'm not ready to declare Norton the winner of the primary. This mildly negative personality contest is still a toss-up until we get better information or until the primary is held. LINKs: Colorado primary provides fireworks a-plenty. By Chris Cillizza. Norton attack ad [film clip] improperly taken from Peoples Press Collective video.  Election 2010: Colorado Senate. By Rasmussen Reports.
Category: Colorado Politics
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Comments

  1.   Rebel
      July 31st, 2010 @ 1:06 am

    Dream on… On Aug. 11, 2010 Norton will be a private citizen. Don, it is over.

  2.   Brian Wilson
      July 31st, 2010 @ 1:44 am

    You fail to realize that the Rasmussen poll was a general election match up, and as such it has little to do with the primary race other than people using it to make arguments for electability – different population samples. You’ve either knowingly or unknowingly fallen for Norton’s push poll (yeah – conducted by a “major Republican firm” which won’t release its name or the specifics of the poll – read between the lines). As I’ve pointed out elsewhere, the sad thing is that Norton can’t even get above 45% in her own push poll. It takes 50% to win, so Rebel is right. Game over.

  3.   Harry
      July 31st, 2010 @ 9:05 am

    Don:
    When you drink koolaid with crooks and thieves it doesn’t help your credibility.

    The latest Rasmussen poll released this week indicated that Buck’s political incorrectness has not been hurting him. As they put it:
    “The survey taken Monday night shows virtually no change in Buck’s support from two weeks ago despite some highly publicized critical comments he made since then about Norton and about Tea Party voters.”

    Magellan results this week had Buck up by 9%.

    I think the Norton push poll referred to by the fix is right in one respect. I think Norton may get 45% of the vote in the primary. Personally, I think it will be closer to 40%, but she may get 45%.

  4.   Val
      July 31st, 2010 @ 12:47 pm

    Don, I just wish you’d stop dancing around the periphery. Just come out with your Buck endorsement and be done with it!

  5.   Val
      July 31st, 2010 @ 1:03 pm

    Harry, do you remember when Magellan had Buck up by 9 points, and the Denver Post/9News had him up by 16? Shortly thereafter, Norton came out with a poll (of unknown origin) showing her up by 5 points. Now we have another poll of unknown origin. And Donald thinks that means Ken is losing to high heels and the sex card.

  6.   Harry
      July 31st, 2010 @ 2:11 pm

    Val:
    I think we need to help Don. He clearly has been reading Penry’s Pravda articles way to literally. To borrow an expression from the Post, referring to the Norton spice girl, Don’s diary is a shameless assault on reality.

    Tomorrow morning the Denver Post is going to come out with a poll showing Buck in the lead. Don is going to need some help with a headline. Here is my thought:
    Prima Donna Jane Norton losing to genuine Ken Buck.
    What do you think?

  7.   Donald E. L. Johnson
      July 31st, 2010 @ 2:44 pm

    I believe polls that are produced by Rasmussen and several other pollsters when they are the named pollsters.

    When the Magellan and Post polls came out, I said and believe they were conducted by reputable firms. When Penry claimed an inside poll showed Norton was gaining, I warned against believing candidates’ polls.

    Now, WaPo is citing a poll by an unnamed pollster. The only reason I give it some credence is that Norton is doing better in a general election poll v. Bennet than Buck is. But Buck is doing better against Romanoff than she is. That is in my blog on this story.

    Sorry if my balanced reporting upsets the partisans. We all misread sometimes, and the most bias in most news stories is on the part of the reader, not the writer.

    I haven’t decided who I will vote for, and I probablly never will tell.

  8.   JD
      July 31st, 2010 @ 3:40 pm

    Don, if you believe the unnamed poll you need to get with reality. When the polling agent isn’t named it’s because there is impropriety in the nature of how the poll was conducted. Come on man, open your eyes. This poll and it’s crosstabs weren’t published because it was Jane’s push poll.

    A poll like that is total garbage and for you to claim you believe it simply tips your hand to the fact that you’ve bought into Jane’s propaganda and support her.

  9.   Harry
      August 1st, 2010 @ 5:22 am

    Don:
    How is this for your headline of the Post poll:
    Who is the dumbass now? Buck 50% – Norton 41%.

    With all the attention switching to the Dem side Norton has absolutely no chance to win.

    A lot of people have already voted so if these numbers are right, and they are basically the same numbers Magellan had earlier last week, Norton would have to pick up about 20 points in 9 days.

    Can you imagine a tougher job than trying to raise money for Norton right now? Give us money because . . . we won’t be around in 9 days and sure you can call me at home in January because I won’t be in DC to help you.

    Perhaps Josh will float another unnamed poll showing Norton ahead. But even you, Don, would not believe that? Would you? I think the Norton camp has lied to and burned about everybody they know by now. How do you think they feel over at the fix?

    Expect Norton to get out spent about 2:1 in the next week and lose 56-44%.

  10.   Val
      August 1st, 2010 @ 3:45 pm

    How about this?

    “Voters reject pink high heels as too inappropriate and too superficial”

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